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#2652 Mar 15 2017 at 8:36 AM Rating: Decent
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http://cnews.canoe.com/CNEWS/World/2017/03/14/22710663.html

So, Trump taxes. Decade old, "Client copy" unsolicited and preceded by an administration statement of how illegal it is to report. Just happens to show him paying 25ish percent taxes.

So the copy that was given to Trump somehow gets sent in the mail anonymously to a news outlet and shows nothing that should have prevented him from disclosing his taxes prior to now. The administration then makes a rather weak show of denouncing its release.
#2653 Mar 15 2017 at 9:02 AM Rating: Good
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Maybe they thought hard evidence of what everyone already knew would somehow affect the election. You know, if you ignore the university, steaks, ties, bottled water, casinos, airlines ...
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#2654 Mar 15 2017 at 10:06 AM Rating: Excellent
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I was genuinely surprised he was paying that much. Boy needs to learn to loophole already.
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#2655 Mar 15 2017 at 10:41 AM Rating: Good
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It was more about finding out whether or not there were conflicts of interest between his businesses and his policies, which these two pages really don't answer. Considering how little noise there's been from the White House over this leak as opposed to when anything else leaks and how little information you can actually get from these pages you could make an argument that this administration purposefully leaked it themselves to try to both quiet some noise left over from the elections and distract from the rest of the nonsense that comes out of the führer's mouth.

Or, while I may not be a fan and am totally trying to treat everyone equally but this totally answers everything perfectly and nothing else should be asked.
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#2656 Mar 15 2017 at 10:52 AM Rating: Excellent
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Wait, I thought the stuff coming from his mouth was the distraction?

Guy is playing some serious 4D chess here.
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#2657 Mar 15 2017 at 11:49 AM Rating: Excellent
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He's distracting us from the distractions by using distractive stuff.
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Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#2658 Mar 15 2017 at 11:56 AM Rating: Good
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someproteinguy wrote:
Guy is playing some serious 4D chess here.
Well, it is how they got that water deregulation through that just coincidentally happened to help golf courses most with little noise.
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George Carlin wrote:
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#2659 Mar 15 2017 at 12:32 PM Rating: Excellent
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lolgaxe wrote:
someproteinguy wrote:
Guy is playing some serious 4D chess here.
Well, it is how they got that water deregulation through that just coincidentally happened to help golf courses most with little noise.
That's okay Trump promised he'd never play golf while President, so it shouldn't have any effect right?
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#2660 Mar 16 2017 at 7:30 AM Rating: Good
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Shockingly to exactly no one the problem with 45's travel ban wasn't the number of countries, as two federal judges rule against it again.
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#2661 Mar 16 2017 at 7:48 AM Rating: Excellent
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I think you mean "two activists". Activists in robes. Activists in robes dedicated to preserving balance.

Druids. Trumps's travel ban was blocked by druids.
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Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#2662 Mar 16 2017 at 8:01 AM Rating: Good
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Funny, they don't look Drui-ish.
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George Carlin wrote:
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#2663 Mar 16 2017 at 8:19 AM Rating: Excellent
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Noobs are in cloth armor, that's the problem. They aren't priests or mages, so shouldn't be rolling on that armor in the first place.

Edited, Mar 16th 2017 7:41am by someproteinguy
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#2664 Mar 16 2017 at 9:15 AM Rating: Excellent
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lolgaxe wrote:
Funny, they don't look Drui-ish.

Maybe Ginsburg.
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Belkira wrote:
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#2665 Mar 16 2017 at 12:44 PM Rating: Good
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So apparently yesterday there was an interview with 45 and Tucker Carlson, where when asked about the wiretaps he said he found out about them when he was reading the New York Times, and then watching Fox News and the word "wiretap" appeared on both.

Edited, Mar 16th 2017 2:45pm by lolgaxe
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#2666 Mar 16 2017 at 2:20 PM Rating: Excellent
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Was depressingly funny: "So I was reading the New York Times, which is terrible fake news by the way, and they said I was wiretapped! So that's how I know!"
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#2667 Mar 16 2017 at 8:04 PM Rating: Decent
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lolgaxe wrote:
gbaji wrote:
can you seriously sit there and claim that this wouldn't have been the outraged narrative pushed about in the public square, complete with cries for investigation?
We're not talking about "the public square," but specifically your personal reaction to the current situation. You know, the one that is actually happening, which you've actually commented on in a way that actually conforms to your regular pattern.


Huh? It's not about how I feel, or whether I believe in one thing sans evidence or another thing sans evidence. I'm speaking specifically and directly about the media reaction to claims about Obama wiretapping the Trump campaign versus the media reaction to claims about Trumps campaign colluding with the Russians. I'm reasonably certain I made this exact point earlier:

me just a bit up this very page wrote:
Yeah. A good helping of this as well. My nearly immediate take on this was based on the nearly instantaneous and reflexive media backlash to Trump's tweets. I watched the interview with the ABC journalist and some communications person from the White House, and the journalist was practically yelling "If, If, IF!!!", to make the point that the allegations were only relevant if they were actually true. My instant thought was "yeah, and IF the Russians leaked the data to Wikileaks, and IF their intent was to influence the election, and IF Trump or his people had any involvement in it, then you'd have a story too". i saw the contrast to how willing and nearly gleefully the media jumped on one story, while having the opposite reaction to the other.

There's the same amount of evidence for one as there is for the other, right? They're both essentially speculation. We've got the Manchurian Candidate speculation versus the Watergate President speculation. Both are juicy. Both would represent serious problems if true. But neither one has any more evidence for it than the other. And my suspicion is that Trump, once again, is setting up the media for that exact comparison. Why jump on one story, but not the other? It's not about one having more facts to support it. It's entirely about which story the majority of those in the media wants to be true. That's just pure bias on their part.



Again. My point has been that both claims have little to no evidence to support them. Both should be treated with a large grain of salt. But I'm seeing a massive disconnect in terms of how each claim is being reported and thus how the public perception of them is different. My point about how different the reaction would have been if it had been Obama making the claim about the Bush administration spying on his campaign was directly aligned with that point. So I'm not sure how you got so far off said point.

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gbaji wrote:
You're kidding yourself if you think at least one of those answers isn't "yes".
One of those "yes"es is just a distraction from the topic.


No it's not a "distraction", unless by distraction, you really mean "excellent point that puts the event being discussed in proper relative perspective".

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You're kidding yourself if you think that anyone believes you wouldn't be arguing Bush's innocence if Obama had accused him of wiretapping just because he's a Republican.


What other people may believe is not the point. What I would actually be doing is. And in that case, I'd have the exact same response I've had to every single one of these sorts of issues. I would take a "let's wait for the facts to come out" position. Sure, I might engage in speculative discussion. And yes, if there's an overwhelming theme of "he's guilty!" prior to said facts emerging, I would respond to those in a manner that someone like yourself might interpret as "arguing Bush's innocence". But I'm really arguing "let's not assume someone is guilty until we have actual proof". You know, the standard we're actually supposed to follow for such things?

I'll repeat something I've mentioned many times on this forum. If it appears as though my statements and positions are biased, it's because I'm responding to an overwhelming bias on this forum. If you don't hear me defending or excusing the actions of Democrats often on this forum, it's because there's almost no attacks against, arguments against, or accusations made against Democrats on this forum. If I were posting on a Right leaning forum, and it was chock full of people insisting that "Obama is a Muslim and here's the proof!", or "Obama was born in Kenya, cause here's his Kenyan birth certificate!", or "Obama had Trump tapped, cause here's the story on Breitbart that says so!", I'd be arguing against them, with the same sorts of argument I'm using here. I'd similarly be assessing the likelihood of one action versus another, one theory versus another, and weigh the odds of one versus the other. And you know what? I'd likely be labeled as some crazy anti-American liberal for it too (which would be funny really).

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gbaji wrote:
Silly me for trying to apply the same rules to everyone equally.
So you admit that you're not actually applying the same rules to everyone equally?


The funny thing is that I actually am. But I'm in an environment where nearly no one else is, so my "centrist" position appears to be biased in opposition to the bias of those in this environment. How many times do I have to say that I put the same amount of weight on claims that the Trump campaign colluded with the Russians as I do that the Obama administration tapped the Trump campaign for this to sink in? The reason this appears biased, is because nearly everyone else posting here does not place the same weight on those claims. So to them, it appears as though I'm defending Trump on the whole collusion thing, and then defending Trump again with his claim of wiretapping. When the truth is that I'm taking the exact same "we don't know if it's true, so lets not make any assumptions" in both cases.


I'm trying to get people on this forum to stop picking a position based on the "side" they are on, and rather pick a position because it's objectively true. And in the absence of objective truth, speculate equally in both directions. Weigh possibilities, without assuming conclusions. Why is this so hard for so many people to do? I have no problem at all speculating about the possibility of Trump colluding with the Russians. I have, in fact, done just that. The difference is that I don't assume it's true from the start. And I weigh that possibility against other possibilities (like that the Russians had nothing to do with the leak to wikileaks, and the evidence of Russian malware is just a red herring, or that the Russians did leak the info, but there was no collusion with the Trump campaign). I've even proposed alternative ways that the information could have been leaked, and weighed the likelihood of those ways against the one being claimed.

Guess what? I also have no problem speculating about possible ways the government might have spied on the Trump campaign. I've weighed possibilities that it may not have happened at all, or that it did happen but there were legitimate cause for the taps, or that it happened incidentally while tapping foreign parties (and even the potential that this could still be a violation of FISA), and yes, I've even examined the possibility of a completely off the books illegal spying operation that didn't involve FISA at all (cause, you know, that's still a possibility). I have no problem examining these possibilities, and don't feel the need to tie myself to any of them. That's what you don't get. When I say "It's possible that <alternative thing> could have happened", it's not because I believe it did, or want to believe it did, or even want to sway others into believing it did. I say that because I honestly enjoy the mental exercise of examining possibilities.

Obviously, this does not preclude me having an opinion about what I think is the most likely explanation, but that's just my opinion. Good for discussion, but I find it less than useful to berate someone merely for having a different opinion than you do. It's not like I tie my personal worth to whether a given position I've taken on an issue turns out to be true or not. It's usually just not that important.
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#2668 Mar 16 2017 at 8:52 PM Rating: Decent
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lolgaxe wrote:
It was more about finding out whether or not there were conflicts of interest between his businesses and his policies, which these two pages really don't answer. Considering how little noise there's been from the White House over this leak as opposed to when anything else leaks and how little information you can actually get from these pages you could make an argument that this administration purposefully leaked it themselves to try to both quiet some noise left over from the elections and distract from the rest of the nonsense that comes out of the führer's mouth.


Clearly, you need to form together with other people to demand that he turn over his full long form tax forms. I'm sure you'll be safe from having a dismissive label applied to you, like... say... Formers. Or maybe Taxers? Taxformers, cause there's more than meets the eye?

Quote:
Or, while I may not be a fan and am totally trying to treat everyone equally but this totally answers everything perfectly and nothing else should be asked.


Or, I don't know... he's playing from the same rulebook that Obama was? He's literally using his tax forms in the same way that Obama did with his birth certificate. You get that right? And before you go all "OMG! I thought you treated people equally", let me remind you that I have consistently pointed out that the decision to not turn over his full birth certificate benefited Obama politically. He created a point of contention out of nothing, and allowed his surrogates to use that division to dismiss and deride all conservatives by mere association. And he got his political opponents caught up arguing about a piece of paper that he could have trivially turned over at any time, instead of a number of other things they could have been talking about, for 2 and a half years. That's not bad for just not doing something, isn't it?

In the interests of objectivity though, I will point out that the natural born citizenship requirement is actually in the constitution, while turning over tax forms is just a tradition. You can counter that with the idea that Trump could be in violation of the emoluments clause, which is at least also part of the constitution. However, while it's arguable that a long form birth certificate is necessary to prove natural born citizenship (especially under the conditions in Hawaii at the time of Obama's birth), the same can't be said about tax returns and potential violations of the emoluments clause. Tax returns generally do not have the kind of granularity you'd need to determine if, for example, a foreign hotel guest overpaid as some form of "gift" to Trump, or a hotel guest chose his hotel for their stay rather than another, effectively financially benefiting Trump along the way. Tax returns would merely contain the final tallies of expenses and revenues. You certainly would not find anything specific in terms of who stayed in which room, for how long, and what other choices they had, and whether they paid fair market value, or more, and thus whether there might be a violation.

If there comes to be sufficient call for an investigation, the more useful documents would be the actual business records at his hotels and resorts. While not as satisfying, nor tying in nicely to the whole "taxformer" thing (Ok, I'm kinda liking that term now), those would actually show whether Trump benefits financially from being in office. Uh. But even then, there's a question as to whether the courts would find that normal business profits is sufficient to violate the clause. The clause was written in response to lavish gift giving, where the obvious point of the gift was as a personal reward to someone in office in the US, for taking an action in said office that benefited the foreign power. There's a pretty huge gap between the king of France giving Franklin a portrait with a diamond and gold encrusted frame in appreciation of his work hammering out a treaty with France, and a relatively small increase in total business profits to Trumps hotels because maybe a slightly higher number of foreign parties decide to stay at his hotels.

There are likely other, better, ways to find that information. And I suspect Trump knows this, and also knows that if he gets pushed on it, he can easily push back. And yeah, that's a tactic I'm not too happy with, but I'm just trying to point out that this is by no means "new", or unique to Trump.
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#2669 Mar 16 2017 at 11:40 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Clearly, you need to form together with other people to demand that he turn over his full long form tax forms. I'm sure you'll be safe from having a dismissive label applied to you, like... say... Formers. Or maybe Taxers? Taxformers, cause there's more than meets the eye?

I dunno, the anti-Bush Truthers got a label attached to them. It's more about the insanity of your conspiracy theories than your partisan alignment.
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Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#2670 Mar 17 2017 at 8:06 AM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:
gbaji wrote:
And before you go all "OMG! I thought you treated people equally",
If you believe preemptively admitting you're not going to treat this situation the same as another because of your bias will somehow stop me from mocking you about your bias then don't let me stop you.
gbaji wrote:
Clearly, you need to form together with other people to demand that he turn over his full long form tax forms.
So you're just going to accept it and not "ask questions" about it?

Edited, Mar 17th 2017 10:07am by lolgaxe
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#2671 Mar 17 2017 at 8:51 AM Rating: Excellent
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No need to ask questions, it'll be before the Supreme Court by December.
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Belkira wrote:
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#2672 Mar 17 2017 at 9:00 AM Rating: Good
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Oh sure, like the Druids can be impartial. Smiley: rolleyes
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#2673 Mar 17 2017 at 10:58 AM Rating: Good
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Okay, so there's no evidence because Obama used London's spies to wiretap 45's microwave. IT ALL MAKES SENSE.
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#2674 Mar 17 2017 at 11:35 AM Rating: Excellent
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Is there no end to the Democrat's globalization nonsense? They shipped perfectly good intelligence jobs overseas and now we can't even keep Muslims out of the country anymore!

Smiley: disappointed
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#2675 Mar 17 2017 at 11:50 AM Rating: Good
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lolgaxe wrote:
Okay, so there's no evidence because Obama used London's spies to wiretap 45's microwave. IT ALL MAKES SENSE.


This is actually fairly plausible, based on FVEY documentation I've looked at. It's happened before to presidential candidates.
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#2676 Mar 17 2017 at 12:14 PM Rating: Excellent
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Five Eyes? They opened one by us not too long ago. Burgers are okay but I think the fry portions get smaller each time I go.
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Belkira wrote:
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