As the general election is near, what do you think will happen?
1. Vote percentages will be too close to call, requiring us to wait for mail in ballots.
2. Vote percentages will be wide enough a part where we can safely assume a winner while waiting for the final count.
At first, I was thinking #1, but with all of the record breaking turnouts and early voting, we might be at #2.
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Edited, Oct 17th 2020 8:10am by Jophiel
Edited, Oct 17th 2020 8:10am by Jophiel
Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
If Biden wins, likely #2, if Trump wins likely #1.
Biden has many paths to electoral success where Trump only has narrow paths that can get shut off or safely assumed to be shut off. For example, if Trump wins FL or NC, the night continues but if Biden wins FL or NC, you can call it done because there's no real model where Biden wins NC but doesn't also win the upper Midwest and probably Arizona as well. So a Trump win likely requires waiting a while to see if he's shut off but a Biden win could quickly become apparent.
Plus, some of the states Trump would need to win won't start counting their early/absentee ballots until polls close on Election Day. So we might not know if Trump wins Pennsylvania for a few days but we'll know whether or not it matters (because Biden secured 270) earlier than that.
Biden has many paths to electoral success where Trump only has narrow paths that can get shut off or safely assumed to be shut off. For example, if Trump wins FL or NC, the night continues but if Biden wins FL or NC, you can call it done because there's no real model where Biden wins NC but doesn't also win the upper Midwest and probably Arizona as well. So a Trump win likely requires waiting a while to see if he's shut off but a Biden win could quickly become apparent.
Plus, some of the states Trump would need to win won't start counting their early/absentee ballots until polls close on Election Day. So we might not know if Trump wins Pennsylvania for a few days but we'll know whether or not it matters (because Biden secured 270) earlier than that.
Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
It's pretty clear that trump is done. I just hope he goes away quietly (he won't).
I just want the news to go back to it's normal sensationalized fluff with no more headlines of trump, or any of his clan, ever again.
Here in my home state the battle for Sen. Collins seat is the one that can go either way. Gideon was NOT the best opponent to but up against her (imo), but she's raised a butt-load of money. If the seat can be bought Gideon can afford it.
I just want the news to go back to it's normal sensationalized fluff with no more headlines of trump, or any of his clan, ever again.
Here in my home state the battle for Sen. Collins seat is the one that can go either way. Gideon was NOT the best opponent to but up against her (imo), but she's raised a butt-load of money. If the seat can be bought Gideon can afford it.
Alma wrote:
I lost my post
People are concerned if he wins again. I'm more concerned of the lame duck session if he loses. Best case scenario, he just denies the outcome and try some losing legal battles. Worst case scenario, he accepts his loss and tries to burn everything down on his way out.
Almalieque wrote:
People are concerned if he wins again. I'm more concerned of the lame duck session if he loses. Best case scenario, he just denies the outcome and try some losing legal battles. Worst case scenario, he accepts his loss and tries to burn everything down on his way out.
If trump wins our classic democracy style governing is gone - for good or bad.
If biden wins our classic way of democracy style of governing will be fought for - with good or bad outcomes.
Political ways and means aside, climate change denial and non-action will be this countries undoing. We simply can not remain a world leader without taking action on our energy infrastructure. Other country's will continue to progress with cleaner, healthier more sustainable energy sources and systems. They'll have success and they'll gain power. The US will continue to degrade as some old fogey president(s) and friends/donors keep trying to shore up and even promote the fossil fuel industry for short term $profit.
Alma wrote:
I lost my post
I've been basically sequestering myself until today. I kind of expected the election to have been over and the conspiracy theories to have begun, but it looks like I was only half right.
George Carlin wrote:
I think it’s the duty of the comedian to find out where the line is drawn and cross it deliberately.
Looks like the answer was #1
You know, I don't put much stock in fate, but wow did my retirement come at a fortunate time.
George Carlin wrote:
I think it’s the duty of the comedian to find out where the line is drawn and cross it deliberately.
Congratulations! I'm just glad the ACFT is still not in effect. Hopefully it will never come to pass..
George Carlin wrote:
I think it’s the duty of the comedian to find out where the line is drawn and cross it deliberately.
So impeachment twice! Bets on whether or not he will be convicted by the Senate?
Almalieque wrote:
So impeachment twice! Bets on whether or not he will be convicted by the Senate?
Alma wrote:
I lost my post
Elinda wrote:
Almalieque wrote:
So impeachment twice! Bets on whether or not he will be convicted by the Senate?
In the typical political response, McConnel today blamed Trump for the mob. Time will only tell how this will turn out.
But **** Lindsey Graham
Dandruffshampoo wrote:
Curses, beaten by Professor stupidopo-opo.
Annabella, Goblin in Disguise wrote:
Stupidmonkey is more organized than a bag of raccoons.
stupidmonkey wrote:
But **** Lindsey Graham
*Butt
ftfy.
remorajunbao wrote:
One day I'm going to fly to Canada and open the curtains in your office.
x2Dandruffshampoo wrote:
Curses, beaten by Professor stupidopo-opo.
Annabella, Goblin in Disguise wrote:
Stupidmonkey is more organized than a bag of raccoons.
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